Utility Wargaming – Preparing for the Unexpected May 26, 2022 | By Darsweil Rogers “Everyone has a plan until they get punched in the mouth.” – Mike Tyson, former heavy-weight champion “It is change, continuing change, inevitable change, that is the dominant factor in society today. No sensible decision can be made without taking into account not only the world as it is, but the world as it will be.” – Isaac Asimov, an American writer and professor The electric industry has enjoyed decades of stable operations and incremental technological change. This situation often leads to the development of strong corporate cultures that resists new ideas. The “we have always done it this way” mindset is a significant risk, given the rapid changes facing utilities. Legacy systems and legacy mindsets are a risk to the future of incumbent providers. Can utilities go the way of AT&T? “Old Ma Bell” had the mindset that controlling the wire to the customer meant controlling the customer. New industry competitors are hoping utilities also adhere to this mindset. The Value of Wargaming Through the development of wargaming, participants can create real-time scenarios to consider new technologies, shifting workforce challenges and new competition. They can begin to consider a completely new competitive and technological landscape in a safe environment before the barbarians are knocking at the gate. Attending our upcoming 3-session wargaming program will allow participants to experience the disruption of a hypothetical organization’s plans in multiple ways. They will then develop a wargaming prototype for their organization, allowing them to begin to consider how disruption can impact their plans. The 3-part virtual workshop series will be held this fall. Attendees will experience an iterative process of discovery tailored for their organization. Attendees will also develop a game specific to the unique characteristics of their organizations by considering worst case, best case and likely case for a multitude of events (e.g. pandemic, supply chain, workforce, customers, politics, financial, weather, etc.). Following the development of the spectrum of outcomes (best to worst case) for each event, attendees will identify the stakeholders, both inside and outside the organization, that may be impacted. Then, the real fun begins, as we take attendees through a process of anticipating and reacting to the needs, demands, and actions of stakeholders. Without “knowing” how each group will react until it happens, attendees will learn to appreciate the exponential impact of others’ actions. Consider the challenge of evaluating next moves when the best options depend on the choices made by someone else. As the game continues, attendees will evolve their perspectives towards valuable cross-functional discussions and collaboration with stakeholders. Wargaming has value across the organization Wargaming Graphic An additional benefit to wargaming is that it breaks down linear thinking based on logic. We know the world is not linear, but logic takes us down that path. Wargaming allows participants to fully access intuition, creativity, and empathy, as well as their logical minds. Let’s look at its application from multiple perspectives. Policy Makers: When setting the strategic direction of an organization, wargaming provides real-time appreciation of the cause and effect relationship across stakeholder groups. For instance, how does a change in a specific strategic decision impact human resources, versus finance, versus mid-sized customers? When the game is properly constructed, it provides feedback across the entire spectrum of stakeholders. This provides the potential to improve strategic decision making. Senior Leaders: In preparing the operating budget and strategic planning framework for policymakers, senior leaders can proactively consider multiple decisions without having to wait for the various departments to provide formalized feedback. The game gives directional indications of possible outcomes. This saves valuable resources and time. Team building: An effective game has representatives from the key stakeholder groups participating in the development and implementation of the game. The ripple effects of the real-time changing of variables gives all stakeholders opportunities to provide feedback and better appreciate the complexity of decisions. The process engenders dynamic communication across the organization with improved empathy and cohesion. Training: The development of talent across the workforce has become more critical in recent years. The development of the game creates opportunities for individuals from entry-level to senior leaders to interact in a simulated environment. This can create a shared consciousness around the challenges, and build knowledge and leadership capacity of the entire team. Finally, this is a game. Millennials and Generation Z have grown up with digital games. We believe they can take the basic constructs of the game and expand it to consider a multitude of challenges at differing operational levels within the organization. Wargaming is a powerful tool whose time has come. I hope these brief insights encourage you to join us for our wargaming workshop coming this fall. Sign up for updates here. Share Share on TwitterShare on FacebookShare on LinkedIn About the Author Darsweil Rogers Managing Partner Darsweil Rogers provides advisory and coaching to senior leadership teams across diverse industries. He served as a board member and Chair of the Fayetteville Public Works Commission the 37th largest municipal electric utility in the US with $1.5 Billion in assets. Darsweil is Managing Partner CFP Innovation, a national advisory and research firm. CFP are thought leaders in helping individuals and organizations manage organizational uncertainty related to emerging technologies, talent loss recruitment and development and competitive uncertainty. Darsweil has spent extensive time studying the nature of human interaction, including the fields of neuroscience, neuro-linguistic programing, and their application in the areas of improved personal and team communication as well as in developing leadership and management capacity. He is a certified analyst in emotional intelligence, behaviors and driving forces (motivations). He has developed curriculum that is certified by the International Consortium of Agile (ICAgile) in Human Resource Agility and is a certified XScale Alliance Business Agility Coach. Darsweil spend the first 24 years of his career with JPMorgan Chase as an executive and lender. He holds an undergraduate degree in business from Howard University. He has served as the executive coaching resource for the Howard Executive MBA program. Follow Darsweil LinkedIn